The Bucket

~22 % of the Q4 2025 13F, anchored by Bloom Energy at #1 in the entire portfolio. The bucket reflects the central operational claim of Aschenbrenner’s essay: that power, not chips, is the binding constraint on the AI buildout. Utility-scale grid interconnects take 5–10 years; AI labs need GW of capacity in 18–36 months. Anything that supplies on-site, behind-the-meter, or rapidly-deployable power becomes structurally undervalued.

Thesis

Power-bucket names map to three distinct sub-theses:

  1. Behind-the-meter generation (Bloom Energy, Solaris, PSIX, Babcock & Wilcox) — sells GW-scale generators, turbines, fuel cells, and boilers that data centers can deploy on-site without waiting for utility interconnects.
  2. Fuel feedstock (EQT) — natural gas is the marginal fuel for both behind-the-meter and grid generation. EQT is the largest US gas producer in the Marcellus and the cheapest source of molecules for AI-driven baseload.
  3. Wright/oilfield-services adjacent (Liberty Energy, ProPetro) — bets on the Chris Wright (US Energy Secretary as of Jan 2025, formerly Liberty CEO) thesis that natural gas + distributed power will be the AI fuel mix, with crossover into fracking and on-pad power equipment.

Notably absent: no nuclear utility (CEG and VST were exited in Q4 2025), no renewable developer, no transmission utility. The fund is making a focused bet on gas + on-site generation rather than the broader “power” theme.

Constituents

Sorted by Q4 2025 value (combining option lines).

CompanyTickerQ4 2025 value% of 13FSub-thesis
Bloom EnergyBE$911.0 M (com + calls)16.51%On-site solid-oxide fuel cells
EQT CorporationEQT$170.6 M (com + calls)3.09%Largest US natural gas producer
Solaris Energy InfrastructureSEI$85.8 M1.56%Mobile gas turbine power
Power Solutions IntlPSIX$24.7 M0.45%Industrial gen-set engines
Liberty EnergyLBRT$10.5 M0.19%Oilfield services + distributed power
ProPetroPUMP$8.7 M0.16%Oilfield services + power
Babcock & WilcoxBW$8.6 M0.16%Boilers, SMR-adjacent equipment
Bucket total$1,219.9 M22.11%

Position History

Bloom Energy entered in Q3 2025 at meaningful size and was scaled aggressively in Q4 2025 to become the fund’s #1 long. The smaller Wright-adjacent oilfield names (LBRT, PUMP, BW, PSIX) were all added in Q4 2025 — coordinated entry suggests a single thematic decision tied to the new US energy policy direction. Earlier-stage utility/IPP exposure (CEG, VST, TLN) was the original Q4 2024 book and was completely exited by Q4 2025 in favor of the on-site generation expression.

What This Implies About the Fund’s Time Horizon

Behind-the-meter generation is what AI labs deploy when they need power in months, not years. That the fund is overweight Bloom over Constellation/Vistra signals a view that the inflection in AI power demand is happening now — there is no time to wait for new nuclear, transmission upgrades, or grid-scale renewables to come online. The Wright-adjacent names express the same urgency through gas-on-pad and fast-deploy gen sets.